A long-armed, athletic edge rusher who exploded for back-to-back double-digit TFL seasons at Boise State, Virgin-Morgan wins with length, effort, and a developing pass-rush arsenal that includes a spin move and improving counter game. The production numbers — 16 career sacks, 28.5 TFLs across his last two seasons — are eye-catching, but the underlying metrics raise real questions: his PFF win rate ranked just 30th among Mountain West defensive linemen in 2024, and 17 of his 43 pressures that year came in just two games against Nevada and Hawai'i. He's a classic small-school production-over-process prospect — the tape shows a player who benefits enormously from scheme and one-on-one opportunities created by his coaching staff, rather than winning with refined technique against quality competition. High-variance Day 3 dart throw with legitimate NFL length and athletic tools who could develop into a rotational pass rusher if the technical refinement continues, but could also wash out if the Mountain West production doesn't translate.
- Excellent length (long arms) that frustrates offensive tackles and is well-utilized in both pass rush and run defense
- Explosive athlete with closing burst and speed-to-power conversion — former four-star recruit who was also recruited as a TE, demonstrating rare versatility
- Developing pass-rush move repertoire, including spin move, with documented offseason commitment to adding second and third counter moves
- High motor and effort player who has shown improvement year-over-year, going from zero sacks as a freshman/sophomore to 10.0 as a RS sophomore and 6.0 as a RS junior
- Durable and available — started all 14 games in each of the last three seasons
- Underlying pass rush metrics significantly lag production: PFF credited him with only an 8.3% win rate in 2024, ranking 30th among Mountain West DL
- Inconsistent game-to-game production — had five games with 1 or fewer pressures in 2024, including the Fiesta Bowl against a top opponent
- Production heavily inflated by weak competition; bulk of pressures came against Nevada and Hawai'i rather than quality offensive lines
- Sack totals appear unsustainably high relative to pressure volume (23.3% sack-to-pressure rate vs 17% FBS average in 2024)
Similar physical profile — long-armed, athletic edge rusher from a smaller program with tantalizing tools but questions about whether the production translates against NFL-caliber tackles. Both relied on length and speed over polished technique early in their development.