Alexander is a hyper-productive Sun Belt pass rusher whose PFF grades scream louder than his draft stock. A 90.1 pass-rush grade and a 29.4% win rate — nearly five points clear of the next-best edge in the country during his breakout 2024 campaign — are numbers you simply cannot ignore, even at the Group of 5 level. But at 6-3 and 225 pounds, he's a tweener without a clear positional home at the NFL level: too light to set the edge against pro-caliber tackles, and without combine testing to validate whether his burst and bend translate against elite athletes. The JUCO-to-Sun Belt pipeline, the lack of Power 4 tape, and the complete absence of mainstream analyst coverage make this a high-variance, low-floor dart throw — but that win rate and pass-rush efficiency suggest there's a real player in there if a team is willing to be patient with his physical development.
- Elite PFF pass-rush production: 90.1 pass-rushing grade (T-4th nationally among EDGE in 2024) and 29.4% win rate (highest among all edge rushers nationally)
- Consistent sack production across levels — 9.5 sacks at JUCO, 6.5 at Texas State in 2024, then set program FBS record with 10.0 sacks in 2025
- Positional versatility: played Will, Edge, and Sam roles per IDP evaluators, suggesting schematic flexibility
- Active hands and pass-rush planning: described as using club-arm-over and swim combinations with good understanding of setting up inside moves after threatening outside
- Ball disruption traits: forced fumbles at every level (3 at JUCO, 2 in 2023, 1 in 2025), suggesting active hands at the point of attack
- Significantly undersized at 225 lbs for an NFL edge rusher — will get washed out at the point of attack against NFL-caliber offensive tackles
- Sun Belt competition level: dominated Group of 5 tackles who are weaker and slower than NFL-caliber opponents; zero Power 4 tape to validate translation
- Not invited to NFL Combine despite elite PFF grades, which is a major red flag for how NFL teams view his physical projection
- Late bloomer with a winding path (DII no games → JUCO → Sun Belt) and older age profile for a prospect still developing
Similar undersized, high-motor edge profile from a small-school background who needed physical development and scheme fit to carve out an NFL role. Both bring relentless effort and positional versatility but lack the size to project as every-down edge setters early in their careers.